更正!甚至需要更少盎司的黃金和白銀才能買房 - Shiny黃金白銀交易所

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2021-05-11 更正!甚至需要更少盎司的黃金和白銀才能買房

Correction! It Takes Even FEWER Ounces of Gold and Silver to Buy a House

By Jeff Clark, Senior Analyst
We update our charts every year on how many ounces of gold and silver it takes to buy a house in the US. It’s an exciting thought, to potentially be in a position to buy a home with just your stash of bullion, a possibility that seems increasingly likely given the bloated nature of the housing market vs. low gold and silver prices.
However, after reviewing the latest update, my colleague Mike Maloney thought it looked off—and after some digging we discovered what it was.
但是,在查看了最新更新之後,我的同事Mike Maloney認為它看起來不錯–經過一番挖掘,我們發現了它的真實含義。
It’s not an error, but in past charts we used the “average” US home price, and Mike wanted to look at the “median” home price instead. 
Why median instead of average? Here’s a simple example… 
Let’s say 10 homes were recently sold, and nine sold for $100,000 but one sold for $1 million. The “average” price of the 10 homes is $190,000—but clearly most of the homes were priced less than this. 
假設最近賣出了10所房屋,其中有9處以100,000美元的價格出售,但有一套以100萬美元的價格出售。 10所房屋的“平均”價格為190,000美元,但顯然大多數房屋的價格都低於此價格。
Median, on the other hand, is simply the price at which half the numbers are above it and half the numbers below it. Median is the “middle” of all the values. Average and median can be similar of course, but if there are more values at one end, or a few extreme values, that can make the “average” value misleading.
And that’s exactly what we have with home prices. Because some homes are exceedingly expensive, it pushes the average price higher. But the median price, the middle value, is more accurate, especially for the middle class.
And that little change makes a fairly big difference…

Gold and Silver Ratios to Median Home Prices

Our recent article showed that it took 85.1 ounces of gold to buy the average priced home in the US at the peak of the gold market in January 1980. 
But based on median home values, it actually only took 74.9 ounces.

(X軸: 年份 ,Y軸: 黃金與中位數房價比例)
That may not seem like a big difference, but consider that at current gold prices it represents an investment today of over $18,000! That’s how much less you have to spend now if the ratio returned to its 1980 low. 
All the values are lower using the median price; it took 231 ounces to buy an average priced home last month, but only takes 197.1 for a median-priced home. 
As usual, the difference with silver is more significant. It took 1,464 ounces to buy the average priced home in the US in January 1980, but to buy a median priced home it only took 1,288 ounces.
像往常一樣,與銀的區別更為明顯。 1980年1月,在美國購買平均價格的房屋花了1,464盎司,但在購買中等價格的房屋中,它只花了1,288盎司。

(X軸: 年份 ,Y軸: 白銀與中位數房價比例)
If the ratio returns to its 1980 low, you can invest $4,720 less in silver today.
As with gold all the values are lower using the median price. It took 16,056 ounces last month to buy an averaged priced home, but just 13,220 for a median home, a difference of 2,836 ounces, almost 6 mint cases. 
與黃金一樣,使用中位數價格,所有價格均較低。上個月花了1,056盎司購買了一套中等價位的房屋,但購買一套中等價位的房屋只花了13,220盎司,相差2836盎司,幾乎是6箱鑄幣廠盒 (意旨: 500枚裝的一盎司銀幣的鑄幣廠怪獸盒)
In other words, buying a home with gold and silver may indeed be more affordable than we reported. If you think you might someday want to swap some or all of your bullion for a house, it could take even fewer ounces than we thought. 
The difference here may be immaterial to some of you. But we wanted to pass it along because if we’re right about the direction, a home could be even more affordable than we realized, especially when it comes to silver. 
In fact, if a significant monetary event occurs, it’s possible we could see that ratio fall to just 1,000 ounces of silver. 
Imagine being able to buy a house outright with just two mint cases of silver Eagles or Maples Leafs. Or if you own a lot more silver, an entire city block of real estate… or a beachfront paradise… or a working farm. 
I don’t know about you, but I think I’ll buy some more silver!
Jeff Clark

引用來源: HardAssetsAlliance.com

* 以上僅此作者個人觀點,不應做為投資建議。請務必詢問專業資產顧問再投資


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